February 18, 2022
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The Week’s Biggest Winner & Loser
Rivian (RIVN)
Despite the rest of the market getting positively slammed, a few positive news stories caused Rivian (RIVN) to pop +12.78% from its dramatically-oversold status to finish the week as the Week’s Biggest Winner.
We’ll just ignore the fact that it’s still down -35.99% YTD after this week’s gain…
Roblox (RBLX)
Once the metaverse darling, Roblox (RBLX) reported a disappointing quarter where it didn’t earn nearly the amount of revenue analysts on the street expected. As a result, RBLX got decimated, dropping -25.58% this week alone and already down -51.80% for the year (and we’re barely two months in), definitely earning itself the spot of the Week’s Biggest Loser.
Portfolio Allocation
Positions
%
Target Position Size
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Portfolio Breakdown
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Year-to-Date Performance
The Speculative Basket
The Speculative Basket is made up of 11 positions that cumulatively share two target allocations. While I have more faith in these positions than those in my Speculation in Play portfolio (why they’re in this portfolio), I don’t want a full allocation to any of them.
The current basket members are: Amazon (AMZN), Berkshire-Hathaway (BRK.B), Coinbase (COIN), Dutch Bros (BROS), Meta (FB), Rivian (RIVN), Roblox (RBLX), Salesforce (CRM), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), Take Two Interactive (TTWO), and Twilio (TWLO).
Current Position Performance
Apple (AAPL)
+884.08%*
1st Buy 4/18/2013 @ $14.17
Current Per-Share: (-$34.61)*
Nvidia (NVDA)
+866.77%*
1st Buy 9/6/2016 @ $15.77
Current Per-Share: (-$22.45)*
Amazon (AMZN)
+758.47%**
1st Buy 2/6/2018 @ $1,382.96
Current Per-Share: $34.77
Tesla (TSLA)
+728.03%*
1st Buy 3/12/2020 @ $111.30
Current Per-Share: (-$93.94)*
Boeing (BA)
+671.13%*
1st Buy 2/14/2012 @ $79.58
Current Per-Share: (-$192.80)*
Block (SQ)
+631.25%*
1st Buy 8/5/2016 @ $11.10
Current Per-Share: (-$94.15)*
Logitech (LOGI)
+620.66%**
1st Buy 11/11/2016 @ $24.20
Current Per-Share: $7.45
Nike (NKE)
+535.74%*
1st Buy 2/14/2012 @ $26.71
Current Per-Share: (-$13.75)*
IDEXX Labs (IDXX)
+447.88%*
1st Buy 7/26/2017 @ $167.29
Current Per-Share: (-$52.18)*
Skyworks (SWKS)
+456.55%*
1st Buy 1/31/2020 @ $113.60
Current Per-Share: (-$57.56)*
Disney (DIS)
+384.90%
1st Buy 2/14/2012 @ $41.70
Current Per-Share: $31.21
Take Two (TTWO)
+315.55%
1st Buy 10/9/2018 @ $128.40
Current Per-Share: $50.23
JP Morgan (JPM)
+118.68%
1st Buy 10/26/2017 @ $102.30
Current Per-Share: $69.57
Salesforce (CRM)
+100.34%
1st Buy 6/11/2018 @ $134.05
Current Per-Share: $98.25
Meta (FB)
+77.51%*
1st Buy 9/16/2017 @ $128.58
Current Per-Share: -($295.25)*
Berkshire (BRK.B)
+72.14%
1st Buy 8/2/2019 @ $199.96
Current Per-Share: $182.87
Dow (DOW)
+68.36%
1st Buy 5/13/2019 @ $53.18
Current Per-Share: $35.99
Twilio (TWLO)
+34.18%
1st Buy 8/8/2019 @ $125.71
Current Per-Share: $118.00
Dutch Bros (BROS)
+25.09%
1st Buy 9/20/2021 @ $42.25
Current Per-Share: $40.50
Canopy (CGC)
+10.02%
1st Buy 5/24/2018 @ $29.53
Current Per-Share: $7.00
Roblox (RLBX)
-16.23%
1st Buy 9/29/2021 @ $77.00
Current Per-Share: $59.35
Rivian (RIVN)
-33.50%
1st Buy 11/12/2021 @ $127.00
Current Per-Share: $99.80
Coinbase (COIN)
-35.53%
1st Buy 4/14/2021 @ $412.47
Current Per-Share: $293.43
* Indicates a position where the capital investment was sold.
Profit % for * positions = Total Profit / Starting Capital Investment
** Indicates a position calculated based on initial investment due to extremely low per-share price (causes ridiculous and inaccurate “gains”)
A negative share price indicates the dollar amount of profit for each share currently held.
This Week’s Moves
Roblox (RBLX): Added to Position
Roblox (RBLX) gave itself a double-whammy to the downside this week. First, RBLX reported an absolutely dismal quarterly earnings report, but, then, it did so on a week where the entire market sold off due to concerns about Russia invading Ukraine.
As a result, Roblox plummeted to new lows on Friday, triggering a buy order I had which filled at $49.20. The order lowered my per-share cost -2.38% from $60.80 to $59.35, a total reduction of -22.92% from my initial buy at $77.00 on September 29, 2021.
From here, my next buy target is $41.35, a price determined using the Fibonacci Method, and my next sell target is $137.40, under RBLX’s current all-time high of $141.60.
RBLX closed the week at $49.72, up +1.06% from where I added Friday.
Want Further Clarification?
As always, if you have questions about any of my positions or have positions of your own that you’re curious about – feel free to leave a comment below!
See you next week!
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