July 31, 2020 

 

Risk Disclaimer

The positions in this portfolio are incredibly risky and extremely volatile.

 

No one at Get Irked is a professional financial adviser (or a doctor), so consult with your own financial adviser to see if any of these positions fit your risk profile (and stomach).

Get Irked's Speculation in Play - July 31, 2020

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The Week’s Biggest Winner & Loser

Pinterest (PINS)

After reporting a stellar quarter with increased user engagement and advertising, Pinterest jumped +39.73% this week to earn itself the Biggest Winner spot.

General Electric (GE)

A record drop in GDP led all industrials lower, and there’s no lower industrial than General Electric (GE) which dropped -11.52% this week to land as Biggest Loser.

Portfolio Allocation

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Positions

%

Target Position Size

Get Irked - Speculation in Play - Current Holdings - July 31, 2020

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Portfolio Breakdown

Get Irked - Year-to-Date Performance - Investments in Play vs. Speculation in Play - 2020 Year-to-Date Performance

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Year-to-Date Performance

Current Position Performance

Yeti (YETI)

+904.05%*

1st Buy: 2/26/2019 @ $23.23
Current Per-Share: (-$44.50)*

AMD (AMD)

+737.11%*

1st Buy: 1/10/2019 @ $19.54
Current Per-Share: (-$5.14)*

Pinterest (PINS)

+511.72%*

1st Buy: 5/16/2019 @ $25.72
Current Per-Share: -($4.39)*

Tradeweb Mkts (TW)

+371.93%

1st Buy: 4/8/2019 @ $39.22
Current Per-Share: $11.46

Virgin Galactic (SPCE)

+361.54%*

1st Buy: 10/31/2019 @ $9.87
Current Per-Share: (-$0.15)*

Twitter (TWTR)

+222.22%*

1st Buy: 10/30/2019 @ $29.79
Current Per-Share: (-$0.01)*

Airlines ETF (JETS)

+159.10%*

1st Buy: 5/14/2020 @ $11.30
Current Per-Share: (-$1.26)*

Carnival Cruise (CCL)

+125.91%*

1st Buy: 3/12/2020 @ $17.25
Current Per-Share: (-1.01)*

Chevron (CVX)

+52.12%

1st Buy: 3/12/2020 @ $76.94
Current Per-Share: $55.18

General Electric (GE)

-7.85%

1st Buy: 3/6/2020 @ $9.40
Current Per-Share: $6.60

SPY Aug 31 Put Spread

-12.95%

Cost: $1.39
Current Value: $1.21

Revolve Group (RVLV)

-24.13%

1st Buy: 6/13/2019 @ $39.06
Current Per-Share: $21.58

* Indicates a position where the capital investment was sold.
Profit % for * positions = Current Gross Profit / Original Capital Investment

Super-Speculative Basket

Airlines ETF

JETS

Carnival Cruise

CCL

Virgin Galactic

SPCE

What is the Super-Speculative Basket?

The Super Speculative Basket (“Super-Spec”) is made up of a handful of stocks so incredibly volatile that I’m uncomfortable giving any of them full allocations in my portfolio, instead dividing a single allocation among all of them.

Currently, my Super-Spec stocks are as follows: the Airlines ETF (JETS), Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL), and Virgin Galactic (SPCE). They are listed as a single allocation in the portfolio breakdown chart each week. 

This Week’s Moves

Put Spread Aug 31 324-321 (SPY): *New Position*

When the markets continued to shrug off the virtual tsunami of bad news facing them into Wednesday’s Fed meeting, I also noticed the VIX (the Volatility Index or “Fear Gauge”) had dropped more than -3% that day. The higher the VIX, the more the market expects volatility or significant price action. With the VIX low, options pricing also drops.

Given the potential of negative catalysts on the horizon and the low cost of options, it was time to put on some insurance. I bought the 324-320 put spreads on the SPY (the S&P 500 trading vehicle) expiring on August 31 for $1.39 (after fees), betting that the S&P 500 will drop to or below $320 by August 31.

I bought the 324 puts for $7.71 and sold the 320 puts for $6.33, giving the put spreads an overall cost of $1.39. If the SPY drops below $320 by August 31, I have a maximum potential profit of $2.62, nearly tripling the cost of the trade at ~288%.

For those new to options: Option contracts are sold in quantities of 100. One option contract represents 100 shares of stock, so the price of this trade of $1.39 is actually $139.00 per put spread purchased.

Current Status

Cost: $1.39
Current Value: $1.21
Profit/Loss: -12.95%
 

Pinterest (PINS): Profit-Taking

Pinterest (PINS) shares popped nearly +40% before settling on Friday thanks to a spectacular Q2 earnings report showing outstanding user growth and advertising revenue generation. The pop flew through one of my price targets with an order filling at $33.00. 

The sale locked in +153.46% in profits on some of the shares I bought back on March 12 for $13.02 and also took even more profits out of the position. My next buy target is $17.55 and my next sell target is around $37, Pinterest’s all-time high.

PINS closed the week at $34.29, up +3.76% from where I sold Friday.

Want Further Clarification?

As always, if you have questions about any of my positions or have positions of your own that you’re curious about – feel free to leave a comment below!

See you next week!

Don't get mad, Get Irked and learn how to invest for yourself!

 

Disclaimer: Eric "Irk" Jacobson and all other Get Irked contributors are not investment or financial advisers. All strategies, trading ideas, and other information presented comes from non-professional, amateur investors and traders sharing techniques and ideas for general information purposes.

As always, all individuals should consult their financial advisers to determine if an investing idea is right for them. All investing comes with levels of risk with some ideas and strategies carrying more risk than others.

As an individual investor, you are accountable for assessing all risk to determine if the strategy or idea fits with your investment style. All information on Get Irked is presented for educational and informational purposes only.