March 20, 2020 

 

Risk Disclaimer

The positions in this portfolio are incredibly risky and extremely volatile.

 

No one at Get Irked is a professional financial adviser (or a doctor), so consult with your own financial adviser to see if any of these positions fit your risk profile (and stomach).

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The Week’s Biggest Winner & Loser

Tradeweb Markets (TW)

Despite an incredibly turbulent market, Tradeweb Markets (TW) actually held up relatively well, “only” -9.52% and earning itself this week’s Biggest Winner.

Carnival Cruiselines (CCL)

Carnival Cruiselines (CCL) continues to get beaten and battered, losing another astounding -31.74% to make its losses an epic -76.39% YTD. Oof. Definitely this week’s Biggest Loser.

Portfolio Allocation

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Positions

%

Target Position Size

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Portfolio Breakdown

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Year-to-Date Performance

Current Position Performance

AMD (AMD)*

+415.55%*

1st Buy: 1/10/2019 @ $19.54
Current Per-Share: -($1.29)*

Virgin Galactic (SPCE)*

+231.67%*

1st Buy: 10/31/2019 @ $9.87
Current Per-Share: (-$0.15)*

SPY 3/20 Put Spreads 2

+125.23%

Cost: $1.4932
Selling Value: $3.3664

Tradeweb Mkts (TW)

+10.63%

1st Buy: 4/8/2019 @ $39.22
Current Per-Share: $35.50

Yeti (YETI)

+1.36%

1st Buy: 2/26/2019 @ $23.23
Current Per-Share: $16.15

Twitter (TWTR)

-7.88%

1st Buy: 10/30/2019 @ $29.79
Current Per-Share: $26.00

Pinterest (PINS)

-9.21%

1st Buy: 5/16/2019 @ $25.72
Current Per-Share: $13.45

Carnival Cruise (CCL)

-9.49%

1st Buy: 3/12/2020 @ $17.25
Current Per-Share: $13.26

Chevron (CVX)

-10.80%

1st Buy: 3/12/2020 @ $76.94
Current Per-Share: $66.58

General Electric (GE)

-15.32%

1st Buy: 3/6/2020 @ $9.40
Current Per-Share: $7.70

Revolve Group (RVLV)

-64.50%

1st Buy: 6/13/2019 @ $39.06
Current Per-Share: $21.58

* Indicates a position where the capital investment was sold.
Profit % for * positions = Current Gross Profit / Original Capital Investment

This Week’s Moves

Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL): Added to Position

Following a truly bad day on Monday, Carnival (CCL) completely imploded this week, dropping so far that it tripped several buy orders I had in place, giving me an average buying price of $10.48.

Once again, I’m taking a very slow and conservative approach building this position, however this week’s relatively small buys still lowered my per-share cost -19.64% from $16.50 to $13.26. My next buy price target is $7.57.

CCL closed the week at $12.00, up +14.50% from my average buy price.

Chevron (CVX): Added to Position

Despite having two very different theses behind them, Carnival (CCL) and Chevron (CVX) actually trade together given the bad news of this market.

Once again, Chevron continued to drop after Monday’s bad day, and, just like CCL above, Chevron hit a record low from the past, filling an order to add slowly at $67.24. Then, on Wednesday, things got much worse and CVX crashed all the way into the mid-$50s where my next buy order filled at $55.56, giving me an average buying price of $61.40 for the week.

The orders lowered my per-share cost by -13.47% from $76.94 to $66.58. My next buy price target is lower still at $50.08.

CVX closed the week at $59.39, down -3.27% from my average buying price.

General Electric (GE): Added to Position

General Electric (GE) didn’t drop to my price target when it dipped below $7.00 last week, so when I saw GE drop in pre-market trading on Monday, I used a limit order to add substantially to my position at $6.86.

The order lowered my per-share cost a whopping -12.70% from $8.82 to $7.70. My next buy price target for GE is now near its 2008 crisis low at $5.55 where I’ll make an even bigger add than I did on Monday.

GE closed the week at $6.52, down -4.96% from where I added Monday.

Pinterest (PINS): Added to Position

Pinterest (PINS) dropped nearly -20% in Monday’s trading, creating new all-time lows and uncharted price territory. 

I used Fibonacci Technical Analysis techniques to estimate a few price levels for Pinterest and had orders filled throughout the week for an average buying price of $11.10 per share. 

The orders lowered my per-share cost -11.40% from $15.18 to $13.45. For the moment, I’m going to hold off adding any additional shares to my Pinterest position until its price action settles.

PINS closed the week at $12.21, up +10.00% from my average buying price.

SPY Insurance Put Spreads: *Closed: +225.88% Gain*

The sheer quantity of bad news this week was virtually unfathomable, reaching a crescendo of selling on Wednesday so powerful that I decided it was time to close the put spreads that would have expired on Friday instead of risking a massive oversold bounce rally into the weekend.

FINAL TRADE RESULTS:

On Wednesday, I decided 2.25 times my investment was worth capturing so I sold the SPY 3/20 255 Puts I bought for $26.00 and bought the SPY 3/20 251 Puts I sold for $22.64. 

Sell SPY 3/20 255 Puts: +$26.00
Buy SPY 3/20 251 Puts: -$22.64

Revenue: $3.36 per spread
Cost: $1.49 per spread
Profit: $1.87 per spread
Gain: $3.364 (sale price) / $1.4932 (buy price) = 2.2588 or +225.88%

Cost of Each Spread: $1.4932
Final Profit/Loss for each Spread:
 $1.87
Profit over $1.4932 cost of each Spread: +125.23% in profits
Change to the Portfolio YTD: +6.18%

Tradeweb Markets (TW): Added to Position

Tradeweb Markets (TW) resisted the urge to purge all the way until Wednesday when it fully collapsed triggering a number of buy orders and giving me the average buying price of $34.65.

The orders lowered my per-share cost by -0.95% from $35.84 to $35.50. Using Fibonacci Technical Analysis techniques, I’m eyeing $30 as my next buying opportunity.

TW closed the week at $39.27, up +13.33% from my average buy price. 

Twitter (TWTR): Added to Position

Twitter (TWTR) collapsed along with everything else this week, tearing through a series of small buy orders I had in place to pick up little nibbles on the way down.

By the end of the week, my average buy price was $22.33 and lowered my per-share cost -7.83% from $28.21 to $26.00. My next price target for Twitter is $19.25.

TWTR closed the week at $23.95, up +7.25% from my average buy price.

Yeti (YETI): Added to Position

Yeti (YETI) truly collapsed this week, falling straight through $20.00 and much, much further, triggering a number of buy orders I had in place which filled for an average buying price of $17.47.

The orders took my per-share cost up to $16.20, still a reduction of -30.26% from where I first bought YETI at $23.23 on February 26 of last year. My next buy target is $15.37 with more significant quantities and wider ranges down from there.

YETI closed the week at $16.42, down -6.01% from my average buy price.

Want Further Clarification?

As always, if you have questions about any of my positions or have positions of your own that you’re curious about – feel free to leave a comment below!

See you next week!

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Disclaimer: Eric "Irk" Jacobson and all other Get Irked contributors are not investment or financial advisers. All strategies, trading ideas, and other information presented comes from non-professional, amateur investors and traders sharing techniques and ideas for general information purposes.

As always, all individuals should consult their financial advisers to determine if an investing idea is right for them. All investing comes with levels of risk with some ideas and strategies carrying more risk than others.

As an individual investor, you are accountable for assessing all risk to determine if the strategy or idea fits with your investment style. All information on Get Irked is presented for educational and informational purposes only.