May 12, 2023
The Week’s Biggest Winner & Loser
Roblox (RBLX)
Roblox (RBLX) surprised the markets with a better-than-feared earnings report, particularly after disappointing with April’s monthly user numbers a few weeks ago. As a result, RBLX popped +12.30% on the week, locking in the Week’s Biggest Winner spot.
Canopy Growth Corp (CGC)
The cannabis sector has been notoriously bad lately, but Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) made a bad situation worse when news broke that the company had been… generous… in calculating its forward revenue guidance. Once reality set in, CGC dropped another -21.64%, landing in the well-deserved spot of the Week’s Biggest Loser.
Portfolio Allocation
Positions
%
Target Position Size
Current Position Performance
Nvidia (NVDA)
+1030.37%*
1st Buy 9/6/2016 @ $15.67
Current Per-Share: (-$74.75)*
Apple (AAPL)
+909.53%*
1st Buy 4/18/2013 @ $14.17
Current Per-Share: (-$60.72)*
Boeing (BA)
+666.57%*
1st Buy 2/14/2012 @ $79.58
Current Per-Share: (-$179.40)*
Logitech (LOGI)
+522.81%*
1st Buy 11/11/2016 @ $24.20
Current Per-Share: -($0.81)*
Block (SQ)
+482.72%*
1st Buy 8/5/2016 @ $11.10
Current Per-Share: (-$75.30)*
Nike (NKE)
+467.25%*
1st Buy 2/14/2012 @ $26.71
Current Per-Share: (-$10.52)*
Tesla (TSLA)
+467.01%*
1st Buy 3/12/2020 @ $37.10
Current Per-Share: (-$48.28)*
Skyworks (SWKS)
+449.25%*
1st Buy 1/31/2020 @ $113.60
Current Per-Share: (-$34.93)*
IDEXX Labs (IDXX)
+433.50%*
1st Buy 7/26/2017 @ $167.29
Current Per-Share: (-$220.95)*
Disney (DIS)
+202.10%
1st Buy 2/14/2012 @ $41.70
Current Per-Share: $30.45
JP Morgan (JPM)
+103.41%
1st Buy 10/26/2017 @ $102.30
Current Per-Share: $65.92
Take Two (TTWO)
+87.10%
1st Buy 10/9/2018 @ $128.40
Current Per-Share: $66.95
Meta (META)
+86.07%*
1st Buy 9/16/2017 @ $128.58
Current Per-Share: -($323.00)*
Dow (DOW)
+76.39%
1st Buy 5/13/2019 @ $53.18
Current Per-Share: $29.66
Salesforce (CRM)
+75.87%
1st Buy 6/11/2018 @ $134.05
Current Per-Share: $114.75
Berkshire (BRK.B)
+71.75%
1st Buy 8/2/2019 @ $199.96
Current Per-Share: $187.77
Amazon (AMZN)
+64.57%
1st Buy 2/6/2018 @ $69.15
Current Per-Share: $67.00
Visa (V)
+32.77%
1st Buy 5/9/2022 @ $194.00
Current Per-Share: $174.27
Zoetis (ZTS)
+28.54%
1st Buy 6/13/2022 @ $157.55
Current Per-Share: $142.85
Morgan Stan (MS)
+26.86%
1st Buy 4/25/2022 @ $83.50
Current Per-Share: $64.94
Alphabet (GOOGL)
+24.28%
1st Buy 9/16/2022 @ $101.93
Current Per-Share: $94.55
SoFi (SOFI)
+14.09%
1st Buy 11/22/2022 @ $4.80
Current Per-Share: $4.40
Roblox (RLBX)
-12.34%
1st Buy 9/29/2021 @ $77.00
Current Per-Share: $44.90
Dutch Bros (BROS)
-25.01%
1st Buy 9/20/2021 @ $42.25
Current Per-Share: $34.70
Schwab (SCHW)
-23.83%
1st Buy 4/18/2022 @ $76.30
Current Per-Share: $64.25
Twilio (TWLO)
-49.30%
1st Buy 8/8/2019 @ $125.71
Current Per-Share: $90.40
Rivian (RIVN)
-56.67%
1st Buy 11/12/2021 @ $127.00
Current Per-Share: $29.80
Coinbase (COIN)
-72.43%
1st Buy 4/14/2021 @ $412.47
Current Per-Share: $208.00
Canopy (CGC)
-73.75%
1st Buy 5/24/2018 @ $29.53
Current Per-Share: $4.00
* Indicates a position where the capital investment was sold.
Profit % for * positions = Total Profit / Starting Capital Investment
A negative share price indicates the dollar amount of profit for each share currently held.
This Week’s Moves
Canopy Growth (CGC): **Final Buy**
Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) returned to its selloff when analyst reports showed that the company’s forecasts for future revenue were likely too positive, throwing the already-beaten down stock into a further tailspin.
Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) triggered my next – and final – buy on Friday which filled at $1.03. To be clear, this is the last purchase I’m making in Canopy. No matter how low it goes from here, I will not add more. I have locked in the maximum amount I am willing to lose, so, from here, Canopy either recovers or goes bankrupt. Yikes.
The buy lowered my per-share cost -9.09% from $4.40 to $4.00. From here, my next sell target is $4.47, slightly under the high Canopy saw in its rally in December 2022.
CGC closed the week at $1.05, up -1.94% from where I added Friday.
Dutch Bros (BROS): Added to Position x 2
On Wednesday, Dutch Bros (BROS) sold off when its Tuesday evening quarterly report revealed revenues that missed the target. I remain confident in Dutch Bros as one of my best long-term investments as this company’s locations blow the doors off the place. While some analysts fear BROS may be growing a bit too fast, I believe its management will get the growth in-line.
My first small buy order filled Wednesday morning at $29.90 followed by a second small buy which filled on Thursday at $27.50, giving me an average buying price of $28.70. The combined buys lowered my per-share cost -2.25% from $35.50 to $34.70. From here, my next buy target is $24.72, around a past point of support. My next sell target is $40.30, quite a bit under BROS’ 2023 high of $41.44.
BROS closed the week at $26.02, down -9.33% from my $28.70 average buying price.
Nvidia (NVDA): Profit-Taking
On Monday, Nvidia (NVDA) made another run over $290.00, exceeding the allocation target for the portfolio by such a margin that I had to take profits to reduce its allocation size with a sale that went through at $290.20.
The sale locked in +1,751.95% in gains selling shares I bought for $15.67 back on September 6, 2016 and lowered my per-share “cost” -$19.06 from -$55.69 to -$74.75 (a negative per-share cost indicates all capital has been removed in addition to $74.75 per share added to the portfolio’s bottom line in addition to each share’s current value).
From here, my next sell target is $323.17, right around past point of resistance where Nvidia will once again substantially exceed my portfolio’s allocation target, and my next buy target is $199.13, above a past point of support.
NVDA closed the week at $283.40, down -2.34% from where I took profits Monday.
Twilio (TWLO): Added to Position
Twilio (TWLO) sold off substantially following a disappointing earnings report and continued selling off later in the week triggering my next buy which filled on Friday at $45.85.
The buy locked in a -61.57% discount replacing some of the shares I sold for $119.32 back on January 21, 2020 and lowered my per-share cost -5.19% from $95.35 to $90.40. From here, my next buy target is $44.20, above a past point of support, and my next sell target is $79.60, just under its high from earlier in 2023.
TWLO closed the week at $45.83, down -$0.02 from where I added Friday.
See you next week!
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